Bodo/Glimt
3 - 1
Zalgiris
FT(HT: 2-1)
Antal (26')
Simkus (21'), Karamarko (81')
Simkus (21'), Karamarko (81')
Coverage of the Europa League Second Qualifying Round clash between Bodo/Glimt and FK Zalgiris.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 16.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a FK Zalgiris win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bodo/Glimt | Draw | FK Zalgiris |
| 62.3% | 20.81% | 16.88% |
| Both teams to score 53.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
