Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Breidablik win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Breidablik win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.