Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Alashkert FC had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Alashkert FC win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
