Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
