Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 65.53%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
