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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 22.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Groningen |
54.54% ( -0.08) | 23.05% ( 0.07) | 22.41% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 55.08% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.03% ( -0.31) | 44.97% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.68% ( -0.3) | 67.32% ( 0.3) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.61% ( -0.14) | 16.39% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.97% ( -0.25) | 46.02% ( 0.25) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.88% ( -0.17) | 34.12% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.19% ( -0.18) | 70.81% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Groningen |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.51% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 54.54% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.04% | 0-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.17% Total : 22.41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 |
| 3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
| R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 |
| R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 |
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