MX23RW : Sunday, May 7 19:53:15
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Sunday, May 7
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Eredivisie | Gameweek 12
Nov 21, 2021 at 11.15am UK
Adelaarshorst
G
Go Ahead Eagles
0 - 1
Groningen

Rommens (43'), Cordoba (57'), Kramer (70'), Mulenga (89')
Cordoba (75'), Kramer (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Strand Larsen (50')
Suslov (54')
Unbeaten in eight matches, Go Ahead Eagles welcome Groningen to De Adelaarshorst in round 13 of the Eredivisie season on Sunday. The away team also head into the game on their best run of the season so far having lost just one of their last six outings.

Match preview

Groningen were involved in a share of the spoils following a 1-1 draw versus RKC Waalwijk at the Euroborg on November 7. Danny Buijs's men went into the interval behind courtesy of Michiel Kramer's opener before drawing level in the 85th minute through Jorgen Strand Larsen. The Pride of the North are hovering just above the relegation zone by a point following a woeful start to the 2021-22 season. Their next task comes against an opposing side who have not won any of the last eight meetings between the teams since the turn of the millennium. Sunday's visitors, who have conceded the joint-most goals away from home this term, will need to tighten up at the back if they are to pick up a positive result. Go Ahead Eagles upset the odds in their match against defending champions Ajax two Sundays ago when they played out a goalless draw. Despite being on the back foot for the majority of the contest, Kees van Wonderen's men held firm to secure an impressive point in Amsterdam. The pride of the IJssel Kowet have now amassed 11 of the last 15 points available and are currently 10th on the log, a point off the top half. Only the current top four teams have picked up more points on home turf than Sunday's hosts, who will be confident of securing another feather in the cap this weekend.
Go Ahead Eagles Eredivisie form:
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
Go Ahead Eagles form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
Groningen Eredivisie form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D
Groningen form (all competitions):
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D

Team News

Twenty-year-old Turan Tuzlacik is ruled out through a leg injury and will not play any part for the home side. Scottish midfielder Frank Ross made his season debut in Thursday's friendly versus Meppen, but the 23-year-old might not be risked for this weekend's game. Groningen's Mike te Wierik remains sidelined with a foot injury, while Radinio Balker is yet to feature this term due to a cruciate ligament injury. Jorge Strand Larsen came off the bench to good effect last time out and could be rewarded with a place in the starting lineup this time around. Go Ahead Eagles possible starting lineup: Hahn; Kuipers, Kramer, Idzen, Lucassen; Brouwers, Botos, Rommens; Cordoba, Oratmangoen, Cardona Groningen possible starting lineup: Leeuwenburgh; Dammers, Sverko, Dankerlui, Van Hintum; El Hankouri, Suslov, Kasanwirjo; De Leeuw, Ngonge, Strand Larsen

We said: Go Ahead Eagles 2-1 Groningen

Playing in front of their fans, the onus will be more on the hosts to take control of proceedings and secure all three points. We are backing them to emerge victorious at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 48.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 25.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Go Ahead EaglesDrawGroningen
48.16%26.06%25.78%
Both teams to score 49.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.72%54.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.32%75.68%
Go Ahead Eagles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45%22.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.86%56.14%
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.75%36.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.96%73.04%
Score Analysis
    Go Ahead Eagles 48.16%
    Groningen 25.78%
    Draw 26.06%
Go Ahead EaglesDrawGroningen
1-0 @ 12.17%
2-1 @ 9.2%
2-0 @ 9.07%
3-1 @ 4.57%
3-0 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.7%
4-0 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 48.16%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 8.18%
2-2 @ 4.67%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 8.3%
1-2 @ 6.27%
0-2 @ 4.21%
1-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.58%
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 25.78%

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Eredivisie Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Feyenoord31237175284776
2PSV EindhovenPSV31215582354768
3Ajax31189479324763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31187659322761
5FC Twente311510654262855
6Sparta RotterdamSparta31158850341653
7FC UtrechtUtrecht3113994945448
8RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk31118125053-341
9Heerenveen31118123947-841
10NECNijmegen3181494137438
11Go Ahead Eagles31910124351-837
12Fortuna SittardSittard31105163756-1935
13Vitesse31710143650-1431
14FC VolendamVolendam3186173765-2830
15EmmenEmmen31610152954-2528
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior3184192768-4128
RGroningen3146212961-3218
RCambuur3144232163-4216
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