SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 52.18%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.6%) and 0-1 (6.46%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | Vitesse |
26.45% ( -0.05) | 21.37% ( -0.02) | 52.18% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 65.82% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.07% ( 0.06) | 32.93% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.36% ( 0.07) | 54.64% ( -0.07) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.61% | 24.38% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.2% ( 0) | 58.8% ( -0) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.04% ( 0.04) | 12.95% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.56% ( 0.09) | 39.43% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.09% 3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.09% 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 26.45% | 1-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.43% Total : 21.37% | 1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.6% ( -0)0-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.34% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.08% ( 0)0-5 @ 0.94% ( 0)2-5 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.41% Total : 52.18% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 27 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 62 | 26 | 36 | 64 |
| 2 | Ajax | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 28 | 44 | 56 |
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 72 | 33 | 39 | 56 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 54 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 48 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 46 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 42 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 35 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 35 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 32 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 30 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 27 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 27 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 24 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 25 | 62 | -37 | 24 |
| 17 | Groningen | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 16 |
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