MX23RW : Monday, February 27 04:46:19
SM
Lazio vs. Sampdoria: 14 hrs 58 mins
Aug 29, 2021 at 1.30pm UK at Amsterdam Arena
Ajax
5 - 0
Vitesse
Antony (5'), Alvarez (31'), Gravenberch (43'), Hajek (60' og.), Klaassen (67')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Bazoer (41'), Oroz (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 71.42%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 12.54%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 3-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawVitesse
71.42%16.03%12.54%
Both teams to score 59.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.44%29.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.34%50.66%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.69%7.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.58%26.42%
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.11%35.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.33%72.67%
Score Analysis
    Ajax 71.42%
    Vitesse 12.54%
    Draw 16.03%
AjaxDrawVitesse
2-1 @ 9.2%
2-0 @ 8.98%
3-1 @ 8.03%
3-0 @ 7.83%
1-0 @ 6.86%
4-1 @ 5.25%
4-0 @ 5.12%
3-2 @ 4.11%
5-1 @ 2.75%
4-2 @ 2.69%
5-0 @ 2.68%
5-2 @ 1.41%
6-1 @ 1.2%
6-0 @ 1.17%
4-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 71.42%
1-1 @ 7.03%
2-2 @ 4.71%
0-0 @ 2.62%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 16.03%
1-2 @ 3.6%
0-1 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 1.61%
0-2 @ 1.38%
1-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 12.54%

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Eredivisie Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Feyenoord23157153223152
2Ajax23147265234249
3AZ AlkmaarAZ23145449282147
4PSV EindhovenPSV23144560283246
5FC Twente23117536181840
6Sparta RotterdamSparta2310763225737
7FC UtrechtUtrecht2310763835337
8RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk238873936332
9NECNijmegen2361253022830
10Heerenveen238692429-530
11Go Ahead Eagles236893339-626
12Fortuna SittardSittard2375112940-1126
13Vitesse2358102841-1323
14FC VolendamVolendam2355132552-2720
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior2362152054-3420
16EmmenEmmen2339112040-2018
17Groningen2345142548-2317
18Cambuur2334161339-2613
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