Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-0 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
