SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for HamKam had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.34%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest HamKam win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HamKam | Draw | Molde |
28.42% ( -0.07) | 24.31% ( -0.08) | 47.27% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 56.97% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.71% ( 0.3) | 45.29% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.37% ( 0.29) | 67.63% ( -0.29) |
| HamKam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.57% ( 0.11) | 29.42% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.58% ( 0.13) | 65.42% ( -0.13) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.73% ( 0.18) | 19.27% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49% ( 0.3) | 51% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| HamKam | Draw | Molde |
| 2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 28.42% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.31% | 1-2 @ 9.4% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 7.69% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.16% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.15% Total : 47.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 9 | 23 | 31 |
| 2 | SK BrannBrann | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | Viking FKViking FK | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Tromso ILTromso | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Lillestrom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 17 |
| 6 | MoldeMolde | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Stabaek FootballStabaek | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 | RosenborgRosenborg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Odd | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | FK HaugesundHaugesund | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | StromsgodsetStromsgodset | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Valerenga FotballValerenga | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | SandefjordSandefjord | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | HamKam | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | Aalesund | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 4 |
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