SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 50.78%. A win for HamKam had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest HamKam win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | HamKam |
50.78% ( -0.01) | 22.37% ( 0) | 26.85% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.5% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.56% ( -0) | 37.44% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.34% ( -0) | 59.66% ( 0) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.01% ( -0) | 14.99% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.56% ( -0.01) | 43.44% ( 0.01) |
| HamKam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.52% ( 0.01) | 26.48% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.34% ( 0.01) | 61.66% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lillestrom | Draw | HamKam |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.53% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.52% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.99% 4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.89% 5-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 4.11% Total : 50.78% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.37% | 1-2 @ 6.65% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 26.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 25 |
| 2 | SK BrannBrann | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Viking FKViking FK | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Tromso ILTromso | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Stabaek FootballStabaek | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 7 | MoldeMolde | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Lillestrom | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Valerenga FotballValerenga | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Odd | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | RosenborgRosenborg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 | StromsgodsetStromsgodset | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | HamKam | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 7 |
| 14 | SandefjordSandefjord | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 |
| 15 | FK HaugesundHaugesund | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 | Aalesund | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 |
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