Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 83.5%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 4.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.08%) and 1-0 (10.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%), while for a Crystal Palace Under-21s win it was 0-1 (2.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
