Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 71.91%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 10.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Southampton Under-21s win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
