Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Gillingham | 2 | -1 | 3 |
13 | Mansfield Town | 2 | -1 | 3 |
14 | Colchester United | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Cambridge United | 2 | 0 | 3 |
15 | Derby County | 2 | 0 | 3 |
16 | Oxford United | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 48.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 25.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Derby County |
48.94% ( -0.04) | 25.91% ( 0.02) | 25.15% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.26% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.85% ( -0.05) | 54.14% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.44% ( -0.04) | 75.56% ( 0.04) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.85% ( -0.04) | 22.15% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.46% ( -0.05) | 55.54% ( 0.06) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.28% ( -0) | 36.72% ( 0) |