SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 71.3%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 12.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 3-0 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | West Ham United |
71.3% ( -0.9) | 16.26% ( 0.74) | 12.45% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 58.11% ( -2.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.99% ( -3.42) | 31.01% ( 3.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.61% ( -4.17) | 52.39% ( 4.17) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.32% ( -0.98) | 7.68% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 72.6% ( -2.6) | 27.4% ( 2.6) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.95% ( -2.19) | 37.05% ( 2.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.16% ( -2.24) | 73.84% ( 2.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | West Ham United |
| 2-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.84) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.32)3-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.14)1-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.99)4-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.37)3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.32)5-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.17)5-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.34)4-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.35)5-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.26)6-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.14)6-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.21)Other @ 3.78% Total : 71.3% | 1-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.6) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.51)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.23% Total : 16.26% | 1-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.37)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.9% Total : 12.45% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 45 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 43 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 43 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 32 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 31 |
| 10 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 29 |
| 11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Bournemouth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 25 |
| 13 | Fulham | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 24 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 21 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 20 |
| 16 | Brentford | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Everton | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 17 |
| 18 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 16 |
| 19 | Burnley | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 21 | 42 | -21 | 12 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 9 |
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