SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Telstar win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Telstar | Draw | Jong AZ |
36.55% ( 0.01) | 24.79% ( -0) | 38.66% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 58.51% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.32% ( 0.02) | 44.68% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.96% ( 0.02) | 67.04% ( -0.01) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.94% ( 0.01) | 24.06% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.67% ( 0.02) | 58.33% ( -0.01) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.05% ( 0.01) | 22.95% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.27% ( 0.01) | 56.73% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Telstar | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 8.25% 1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.6% 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 36.55% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 8.52% 0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.23% Total : 38.66% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Willem II | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 46 | 18 | 28 | 48 |
| 2 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 40 |
| 3 | Roda JC | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 39 |
| 4 | Dordrecht | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 36 |
| 5 | Cambuur | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 34 |
| 6 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 33 |
| 7 | Groningen | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
| 8 | EmmenEmmen | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 32 |
| 9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 31 |
| 10 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
| 11 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 29 |
| 12 | Jong AZJong AZ | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 29 |
| 13 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
| 14 | Helmond SportHelmond | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 25 |
| 15 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 22 |
| 16 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 15 |
| 19 | TelstarTelstar | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 15 |
| 20 | TOP OssOss | 21 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 38 | -26 | 11 |
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