SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.
| Result | ||
| TOP Oss | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
32.96% ( -0.02) | 24.23% ( -0.04) | 42.8% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 59.73% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.24% ( 0.16) | 42.76% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.83% ( 0.16) | 65.16% ( -0.17) |
| TOP Oss Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.8% ( 0.06) | 25.2% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.07% ( 0.09) | 59.93% ( -0.09) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.84% ( 0.09) | 20.15% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.57% ( 0.15) | 52.43% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| TOP Oss | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.22% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.96% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.23% | 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.8% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 42.81% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 87 | 36 | 51 | 75 |
| 2 | Heracles | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 91 | 41 | 50 | 70 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 36 | 13 | 62 |
| 4 | Willem II | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 56 |
| 5 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 53 |
| 6 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 53 |
| 7 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 49 |
| 9 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 46 |
| 10 | Jong AZJong AZ | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 54 | 52 | 2 | 44 |
| 11 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 43 |
| 12 | TelstarTelstar | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 43 |
| 13 | Roda JC | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 42 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 41 |
| 15 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 63 | 65 | -2 | 40 |
| 16 | Helmond SportHelmond | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 38 |
| 17 | TOP OssOss | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 64 | -23 | 32 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
| 19 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 33 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 43 | 79 | -36 | 30 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 23 |
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