SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Heracles |
40.97% ( 1.05) | 24.51% ( -0.28) | 34.52% ( -0.77) |
| Both teams to score 59.17% ( 0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.32% ( 1.17) | 43.68% ( -1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.93% ( 1.14) | 66.07% ( -1.14) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.61% ( 1.01) | 21.38% ( -1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.63% ( 1.54) | 54.36% ( -1.54) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.27% ( 0.11) | 24.73% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.72% ( 0.16) | 59.28% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.61% Total : 40.97% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.28)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.5% | 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.36)0-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.52% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 87 | 36 | 51 | 75 |
| 2 | Heracles | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 91 | 41 | 50 | 70 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 36 | 13 | 62 |
| 4 | Willem II | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 56 |
| 5 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 53 |
| 6 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 53 |
| 7 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 49 |
| 9 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 46 |
| 10 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 43 |
| 11 | TelstarTelstar | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 43 |
| 12 | Roda JC | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 42 |
| 13 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 41 |
| 14 | Jong AZJong AZ | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 41 |
| 15 | Helmond SportHelmond | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 38 |
| 16 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 58 | 61 | -3 | 37 |
| 17 | TOP OssOss | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 64 | -23 | 32 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
| 19 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 33 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 43 | 79 | -36 | 30 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 32 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 31 | 55 | -24 | 23 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
