SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | De Graafschap |
29.59% ( 0.07) | 23.01% ( -0.05) | 47.39% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 62.37% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.45% ( 0.3) | 38.55% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.15% ( 0.32) | 60.84% ( -0.32) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.78% ( 0.19) | 25.21% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.04% ( 0.27) | 59.95% ( -0.27) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.39% ( 0.1) | 16.6% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.58% ( 0.19) | 46.41% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 29.59% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 5.57% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.81% 2-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.36% Total : 47.39% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 29 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 66 |
| 2 | Heracles | 28 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 78 | 32 | 46 | 60 |
| 3 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 51 |
| 4 | Almere CityAlmere City | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 49 |
| 5 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 44 |
| 7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 43 |
| 8 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Roda JC | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 40 |
| 10 | Jong AZJong AZ | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 40 |
| 11 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 39 |
| 12 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 39 |
| 13 | TelstarTelstar | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 39 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 35 |
| 15 | Helmond SportHelmond | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 31 |
| 17 | TOP OssOss | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 30 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 28 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 27 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 27 | 49 | -22 | 20 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
