MX23RW : Friday, March 10 19:59:47
SM
Friday, March 10
Nov 6, 2020 at 5.45pm UK at De Geusselt
MVV
1 - 4
NAC Breda
Kostons (22')
Martina (24')
FT(HT: 1-2)
van Hooijdonk (24' pen.), Dogan (41'), Immers (46'), Buffonge (90+1')
Bilate (87')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and NAC Breda.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawNAC Breda
28.7%24.07%47.24%
Both teams to score 57.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.96%44.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.58%66.42%
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.41%28.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.61%64.39%
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.21%18.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.8%50.2%
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 28.7%
    NAC Breda 47.24%
    Draw 24.06%
MVV MaastrichtDrawNAC Breda
2-1 @ 7.04%
1-0 @ 6.73%
2-0 @ 4.21%
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 2.46%
3-0 @ 1.76%
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 28.7%
1-1 @ 11.24%
2-2 @ 5.89%
0-0 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.06%
1-2 @ 9.4%
0-1 @ 8.98%
0-2 @ 7.51%
1-3 @ 5.24%
0-3 @ 4.18%
2-3 @ 3.28%
1-4 @ 2.19%
0-4 @ 1.75%
2-4 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 47.24%

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Eerste Divisie Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PEC Zwolle27193575304560
2Heracles27183676324457
3Almere CityAlmere City27154839291049
4VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo2713684037345
5Willem II27128744301444
6FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven2712693739-242
7MVV MaastrichtMVV27125105148341
8Jong AZJong AZ2711794844440
9NAC BredaNAC Breda27124114345-240
10Roda JC27114123737037
11De GraafschapDe Graafschap27106114238436
12TelstarTelstar279992638-1236
13ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag2798103138-735
14Jong PSVJong PSV2788114345-232
15TOP OssOss2793153146-1530
16Helmond SportHelmond2785142343-2029
17Jong AjaxJong Ajax27610114449-528
18Den BoschDen Bosch2783163765-2827
19Dordrecht2775153144-1326
20Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht2755172748-2120
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