Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
