Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 55.35%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.32%) and 0-1 (7.02%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
