Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 60.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 18.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Telstar win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for ADO Den Haag in this match.
