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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
32.87% ( -0.2) | 23.34% ( 0.06) | 43.79% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 62.94% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.46% ( -0.35) | 38.54% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.17% ( -0.37) | 60.83% ( 0.38) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.76% ( -0.28) | 23.24% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.85% ( -0.41) | 57.15% ( 0.41) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.99% ( -0.08) | 18% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.12% ( -0.14) | 48.87% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| De Graafschap | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.46% 3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.87% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.33% | 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 5.13% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.2% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.79% Total : 43.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | PEC Zwolle | 35 | 25 | 4 | 6 | 92 | 37 | 55 | 79 |
| P | Heracles | 35 | 24 | 4 | 7 | 95 | 41 | 54 | 76 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 66 |
| 4 | Willem II | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 60 | 36 | 24 | 60 |
| 5 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 56 |
| 6 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 56 |
| 7 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 55 | 51 | 4 | 54 |
| 8 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | TelstarTelstar | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 49 |
| 10 | Jong AZJong AZ | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 47 |
| 11 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 51 | -6 | 47 |
| 12 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 46 |
| 13 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 64 | 66 | -2 | 43 |
| 14 | Roda JC | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 42 |
| 15 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 41 |
| 16 | Helmond SportHelmond | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 39 |
| 17 | Dordrecht | 35 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 33 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 35 | 10 | 3 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 33 |
| 19 | TOP OssOss | 35 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 41 | 73 | -32 | 32 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 35 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 32 | 61 | -29 | 26 |
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