Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 18.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
Result | ||
De Graafschap | Draw | Jong AZ |
58.45% ( -0.06) | 22.64% ( 0) | 18.92% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 51.08% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.32% ( 0.07) | 47.69% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.12% ( 0.07) | 69.88% ( -0.06) |
De Graafschap Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84% ( 0) | 16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.68% ( 0.01) | 45.32% |
Jong AZ Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.81% ( 0.11) | 39.2% ( -0.11) |