Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 53.21%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 24.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Almere City | Draw | NAC Breda |
53.21% ( 0.56) | 22.34% ( -0.19) | 24.45% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 60.07% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.46% ( 0.5) | 39.54% ( -0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.11% ( 0.52) | 61.89% ( -0.52) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.07% ( 0.36) | 14.92% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.69% ( 0.69) | 43.31% ( -0.69) |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.61% ( -0.03) | 29.39% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.62% ( -0.04) | 65.38% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Almere City | Draw | NAC Breda |
2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.11% Total : 53.21% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.33% | 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.21% Total : 24.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Heracles | 38 | 27 | 4 | 7 | 103 | 42 | 61 | 85 |
P | PEC Zwolle | 38 | 27 | 4 | 7 | 99 | 43 | 56 | 85 |
3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 70 |
4 | Willem II | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 68 | 40 | 28 | 68 |
5 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 59 |
6 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 59 |
7 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 58 |
8 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 58 |
9 | TelstarTelstar | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 53 |
10 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 52 |
11 | Jong AZJong AZ | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 51 |
12 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 51 |
13 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 69 | 72 | -3 | 46 |
14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 59 | 63 | -4 | 45 |
15 | Roda JC | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 43 |
16 | Helmond SportHelmond | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 39 | 57 | -18 | 43 |
17 | TOP OssOss | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 45 | 76 | -31 | 37 |
18 | Dordrecht | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 35 |
19 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 38 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 46 | 85 | -39 | 35 |
20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
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