SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 54.88%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 22.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | NAC Breda |
54.88% ( -0.15) | 22.3% ( 0.06) | 22.82% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.16% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.86% ( -0.22) | 41.14% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.46% ( -0.22) | 63.53% ( 0.21) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.07% ( -0.13) | 14.93% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.68% ( -0.24) | 43.32% ( 0.23) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.37% ( -0.05) | 31.63% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.96% ( -0.05) | 68.04% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 54.88% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.29% | 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 22.82% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | Heracles | 36 | 25 | 4 | 7 | 98 | 42 | 56 | 79 |
| P | PEC Zwolle | 36 | 25 | 4 | 7 | 93 | 40 | 53 | 79 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Willem II | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 64 |
| 5 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 59 |
| 6 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 52 | 5 | 57 |
| 7 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 36 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 63 | 63 | 0 | 56 |
| 8 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 54 |
| 9 | TelstarTelstar | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 50 |
| 10 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 60 | 52 | 8 | 49 |
| 11 | Jong AZJong AZ | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 48 |
| 12 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 47 | 55 | -8 | 47 |
| 13 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 46 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 58 | 61 | -3 | 44 |
| 15 | Roda JC | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 42 |
| 16 | Helmond SportHelmond | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 40 |
| 17 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 36 | 10 | 4 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 34 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 33 |
| 19 | TOP OssOss | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 36 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 32 | 61 | -29 | 27 |
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