SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 71.16%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 11.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 1-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-2 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Dordrecht |
71.16% ( -0.56) | 16.86% ( 0.23) | 11.98% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 54.02% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.62% ( -0.17) | 35.38% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.59% ( -0.18) | 57.41% ( 0.18) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.21% ( -0.17) | 8.79% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 69.83% ( -0.41) | 30.17% ( 0.4) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.22% ( 0.44) | 40.77% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.64% ( 0.39) | 77.35% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Dordrecht |
| 2-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.1% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.81% Total : 71.16% | 1-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.86% | 1-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.49% Total : 11.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | Heracles | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 103 | 42 | 61 | 82 |
| P | PEC Zwolle | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 98 | 43 | 55 | 82 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 70 |
| 4 | Willem II | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 68 | 40 | 28 | 67 |
| 5 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 37 | 18 | 5 | 14 | 64 | 63 | 1 | 59 |
| 6 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 59 |
| 7 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 58 |
| 8 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 58 |
| 9 | Jong AZJong AZ | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 51 |
| 10 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 51 |
| 11 | TelstarTelstar | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 50 |
| 12 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 49 |
| 13 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 69 | 72 | -3 | 46 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 59 | 63 | -4 | 45 |
| 15 | Helmond SportHelmond | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 43 |
| 16 | Roda JC | 37 | 12 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 42 |
| 17 | TOP OssOss | 37 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 45 | 76 | -31 | 36 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 37 | 10 | 5 | 22 | 46 | 84 | -38 | 35 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 37 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 34 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
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