SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Randers had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Randers win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aarhus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Randers | Draw | Aarhus |
29.35% ( -0.36) | 25.07% ( 0.06) | 45.58% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 55.06% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.91% ( -0.46) | 48.09% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.75% ( -0.42) | 70.25% ( 0.42) |
| Randers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.81% ( -0.48) | 30.19% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.66% ( -0.58) | 66.34% ( 0.58) |
| Aarhus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.87% ( -0.06) | 21.13% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.03% ( -0.09) | 53.97% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Randers | Draw | Aarhus |
| 1-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.15% Total : 29.35% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.78% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.56% Total : 45.58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| Regular Season | |||||||||
| 1 | Nordsjaelland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 43 |
| 2 | Copenhagen | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 45 | 22 | 23 | 42 |
| 3 | Viborg FFViborg | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 37 |
| 4 | AarhusAarhus | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 35 |
| 5 | RandersRanders | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
| 6 | Brondby | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 30 |
| 7 | SilkeborgSilkeborg | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 29 |
| 8 | FC MidtjyllandMidtjylland | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 28 |
| 9 | OdenseOdense | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
| 10 | AC HorsensHorsens | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 23 |
| 11 | Lyngby BoldklubLyngby Boldklub | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
| 12 | Aalborg BKAaB | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 15 |
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