SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Viborg FF had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Viborg FF win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aarhus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aarhus | Draw | Viborg FF |
38.21% ( 0.18) | 26.27% ( 0.15) | 35.51% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 53.25% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.61% ( -0.67) | 51.39% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.79% ( -0.59) | 73.21% ( 0.59) |
| Aarhus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.76% ( -0.21) | 26.24% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.65% ( -0.28) | 61.35% ( 0.28) |
| Viborg FF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.2% ( -0.52) | 27.8% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.61% ( -0.67) | 63.39% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aarhus | Draw | Viborg FF |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.21% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.87% Total : 35.51% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| Relegation Round | |||||||||
| 1 | FC MidtjyllandMidtjylland | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 55 | 39 | 16 | 51 |
| 2 | OdenseOdense | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 46 |
| 3 | SilkeborgSilkeborg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 41 |
| 4 | Lyngby BoldklubLyngby Boldklub | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 28 |
| 5 | AC HorsensHorsens | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 28 |
| 6 | Aalborg BKAaB | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 27 |
| Championship Round | |||||||||
| 1 | Copenhagen | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 61 | 35 | 26 | 59 |
| 2 | Nordsjaelland | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 55 |
| 3 | AarhusAarhus | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 | Viborg FFViborg | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 51 |
| 5 | Brondby | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 44 |
| 6 | RandersRanders | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 41 |
| Regular Season | |||||||||
| 1 | Nordsjaelland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 43 |
| 2 | Copenhagen | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 45 | 22 | 23 | 42 |
| 3 | Viborg FFViborg | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 37 |
| 4 | AarhusAarhus | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 35 |
| 5 | RandersRanders | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
| 6 | Brondby | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 30 |
| 7 | SilkeborgSilkeborg | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 29 |
| 8 | FC MidtjyllandMidtjylland | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 28 |
| 9 | OdenseOdense | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
| 10 | AC HorsensHorsens | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 23 |
| 11 | Lyngby BoldklubLyngby Boldklub | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
| 12 | Aalborg BKAaB | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 15 |
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