SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 21.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Bologna |
57.01% ( -0.05) | 21.81% ( 0) | 21.18% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.51% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.07% ( 0.04) | 40.93% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.68% ( 0.05) | 63.32% ( -0.05) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.83% | 14.17% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.13% ( -0) | 41.86% ( -0) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67% ( 0.07) | 33% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.42% ( 0.07) | 69.58% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Bologna |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.15% 4-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 57.01% | 1-1 @ 10.13% 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.81% | 1-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.19% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 21.18% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 63 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 67 | 25 | 42 | 61 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 49 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 27 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 48 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 42 |
| 6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 35 | 17 | 18 | 41 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 39 |
| 8 | Fulham | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 39 |
| 9 | Brentford | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 38 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 37 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 34 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 27 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 27 |
| 14 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 26 |
| 15 | Everton | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 25 |
| 16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 24 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 24 |
| 18 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 23 |
| 19 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 23 |
| 20 | Southampton | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
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