Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
