Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 47.77%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 24.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
