Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Gimnasia and Sarmiento.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 35.14%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.14%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (12.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sarmiento in this match.
