Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 45.67%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 26.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 1-2 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 1-0 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
