Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 48.16%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 24.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
