Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Guarani and Emelec.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guarani win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Emelec had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guarani win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Emelec win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result |
| Guarani | Draw | Emelec |
38.82% ( -0.09) | 26.77% ( -0.08) | 34.4% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 51.48% ( 0.28) |
| 46.41% ( 0.35) | 53.58% ( -0.35) |
| 24.91% ( 0.29) | 75.09% ( -0.3) |
| 73.07% ( 0.11) | 26.92% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.75% ( 0.15) | 62.25% ( -0.15) |
| 70.44% ( 0.28) | 29.55% ( -0.28) |
