Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 19, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Guarani
2 - 1
Danubio
Santander (68' pen.), Barcelo (76')
Barcelo (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Guarani and Danubio.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guarani win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guarani win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guarani would win this match.
| Result |
| Guarani | Draw | Danubio |
38.08% ( -1.88) | 27.33% ( -0.31) | 34.6% ( 2.19) |
| Both teams to score 49.77% ( 1.36) |
| 44.24% ( 1.51) | 55.76% ( -1.51) |
| 23.11% ( 1.22) | 76.89% ( -1.22) |
| 71.62% ( -0.35) | 28.38% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.88% ( -0.45) | 64.12% ( 0.45) |
| 69.49% ( 2.23) | 30.51% ( -2.23) |
