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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 26, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Mansiche
B
Cesar Vallejo
2 - 3
Botafogo
Mena (65'), Noronha (78')
Mena (33')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Victor (21'), Adryelson (31'), Sauer (37')
Victor (40'), Marcal (45+1')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Cesar Vallejo and Botafogo.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Magallanes 2-2 Cesar Vallejo
Wednesday, May 3 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Cesar Vallejo had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Cesar Vallejo win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
Cesar VallejoDrawBotafogo
36.24% (0.909 0.91) 26.75% (0.115 0.12) 37.02% (-1.023 -1.02)
Both teams to score 51.74% (-0.316 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.67% (-0.424 -0.42)53.32% (0.424 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.13% (-0.362 -0.36)74.87% (0.36200000000001 0.36)
Cesar Vallejo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7% (0.345 0.34)28.3% (-0.345 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.98% (0.433 0.43)64.02% (-0.43299999999999 -0.43)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.16% (-0.792 -0.79)27.83% (0.792 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57% (-1.022 -1.02)63.43% (1.022 1.02)
Score Analysis
    Cesar Vallejo 36.24%
    Botafogo 37.01%
    Draw 26.74%
Cesar VallejoDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 9.94% (0.259 0.26)
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.28% (0.222 0.22)
3-1 @ 3.38% (0.078 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.64% (0.118 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 36.24%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.88% (0.131 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 10.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.44% (-0.182 -0.18)
1-3 @ 3.47% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 37.01%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Magallanes 2-2 Cesar Vallejo
Wednesday, May 3 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Botafogo 4-0 Cesar Vallejo
Friday, April 21 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cesar Vallejo 1-2 LDU Quito
Wednesday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cesar Vallejo 3-1 Binacional
Thursday, March 9 at 2am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Olimpia 2-0 Cesar Vallejo
Thursday, February 17 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cesar Vallejo 0-1 Olimpia
Thursday, February 10 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo 1-0 Fluminense
Saturday, May 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 2-1 Botafogo
Sunday, May 14 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 3-0 Corinthians
Thursday, May 11 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, May 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 0-0 LDU Quito
Friday, May 5 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Flamengo 2-3 Botafogo
Sunday, April 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
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