SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 36.34%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 1-0 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Botafogo | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
34.94% ( 0.38) | 28.72% ( 0.14) | 36.34% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 45.65% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.13% ( -0.48) | 60.87% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.1% ( -0.36) | 80.9% ( 0.37) |
| Botafogo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.12% ( 0) | 32.88% ( -0) |
