MX23RW : Saturday, October 1 08:36:27
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Aug 10, 2022 at 11.15pm UK at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Ceara
2 - 1
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo win 4-3 on penalties
Mendoza (44'), Castilho (63')
Richardson (23'), Luis (77'), Vinicius (87')
FT
(aet)
Vinicius (54')
Galoppo (17'), Vinicius (26'), Miranda (86'), Calleri (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Botafogo 1-1 Ceara
Saturday, August 6 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-2 Flamengo
Sunday, August 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

We say: Ceara 1-1 Sao Paulo

Ceara have proven tough to beat in recent times, but we think that Sao Paulo can avoid defeat, too, meaning they would progress to the semi-finals. It is tough to envisage a particularly open game with the onus on the hosts to attack, especially with this not being their usual gameplan. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 43.2%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 25.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.6%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (11.65%).

Result
CearaDrawSao Paulo
43.2% (0.058 0.06) 30.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 25.81% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Both teams to score 37.14% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.27% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)69.73% (0.038000000000011 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.94% (-0.025 -0.03)87.06% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.57% (0.012999999999991 0.01)32.43% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.05% (0.015999999999998 0.02)68.95% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.96% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)45.04% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.03% (-0.067 -0.07)80.97% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Ceara 43.2%
    Sao Paulo 25.81%
    Draw 30.97%
CearaDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 16.44% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.26% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.48% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 43.2%
0-0 @ 14.6% (0.02 0.02)
1-1 @ 13.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 30.97%
0-1 @ 11.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.23% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.65% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 25.81%


Prediction and betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Botafogo 1-1 Ceara
Saturday, August 6 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Ceara
Wednesday, August 3 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Ceara 1-2 Palmeiras
Saturday, July 30 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 1-0 Ceara
Sunday, July 24 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 1-0 Avai
Wednesday, July 20 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 3-1 Corinthians
Sunday, July 17 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-2 Flamengo
Sunday, August 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Ceara
Wednesday, August 3 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, July 31 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 America Mineiro
Friday, July 29 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-3 Goias
Saturday, July 23 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 3-3 Sao Paulo
Thursday, July 21 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
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