SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caracas win with a probability of 51.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 22.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caracas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Caracas | Draw | The Strongest |
51.39% ( -0.47) | 25.89% ( 0.18) | 22.72% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 46.86% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.97% ( -0.4) | 56.02% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.88% ( -0.33) | 77.11% ( 0.32) |
| Caracas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( -0.37) | 21.86% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.9% ( -0.56) | 55.1% ( 0.55) |
| The Strongest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.98% ( 0.05) | 40.02% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.33% ( 0.05) | 76.67% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caracas | Draw | The Strongest |
| 1-0 @ 13.3% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.02% Total : 51.39% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.34% Total : 22.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 87 | 30 | 57 | 79 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 81 | 39 | 42 | 78 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 61 | 27 | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 63 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 66 | 42 | 24 | 59 |
| 6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 63 | 57 | 6 | 54 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 52 |
| 9 | Brentford | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 50 |
| 10 | Fulham | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 45 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 39 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 39 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 37 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 34 |
| 16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 46 | 59 | -13 | 30 |
| 17 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 43 | 67 | -24 | 30 |
| 18 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 30 |
| 19 | Everton | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 27 | 52 | -25 | 29 |
| 20 | Southampton | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 24 |
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