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Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio El Rubial
HL
Aguilas
0 - 1
Huesca

Athuman (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nieto (25')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Aguilas and Huesca.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Aguilas 1-1 Almeria (3-5 pen.)
Tuesday, November 30 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Huesca 0-0 Albacete
Sunday, October 29 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 44.83%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Aguilas had a probability of 27.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.93%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for an Aguilas win it was 1-0 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Huesca in this match.

Result
AguilasDrawHuesca
27.14% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 28.03% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 44.83% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.93% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.49% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)60.5% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.38% (-0.026 -0.03)80.62% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Aguilas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.48% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)38.51% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.73% (-0.044 -0.04)75.26% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Huesca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.07% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)26.92% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)62.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Aguilas 27.14%
    Huesca 44.82%
    Draw 28.02%
AguilasDrawHuesca
1-0 @ 9.89%
2-1 @ 6.19% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.97% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.5% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 27.14%
1-1 @ 12.98%
0-0 @ 10.37% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.02%
0-1 @ 13.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.52% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 3.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 44.82%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Aguilas 1-1 Almeria (3-5 pen.)
Tuesday, November 30 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Independiente 2-0 Aguilas
Tuesday, May 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Aguilas 3-2 Independiente
Wednesday, May 22 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Oriente 1-1 Aguilas (0-3 pen.)
Thursday, April 18 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Huesca 0-0 Albacete
Sunday, October 29 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Huesca 0-1 Elche
Sunday, October 22 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Eibar 1-1 Huesca
Sunday, October 15 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Huesca 0-1 Eldense
Saturday, October 7 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Real Oviedo 1-0 Huesca
Wednesday, October 4 at 6pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Huesca 0-1 Sporting Gijon
Sunday, October 1 at 8pm in Segunda Division
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