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Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 30, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Rubial
A
Aguilas
1 - 1
Almeria
Almeria win 5-3 on penalties
Uche (58')
Loussoukou (78'), Uche (120+1')
FT
(aet)
Villar (32')
Robles (59')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Aguilas and Almeria.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 74.76%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Aguilas had a probability of 7.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15.4%) and 0-3 (11.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for an Aguilas win it was 1-0 (3.73%).

Result
AguilasDrawAlmeria
7.7%17.54%74.76%
Both teams to score 35.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.54%51.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.73%73.27%
Aguilas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.94%60.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.32%90.68%
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.82%12.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.18%37.82%
Score Analysis
    Aguilas 7.7%
    Almeria 74.75%
    Draw 17.54%
AguilasDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 3.73%
2-1 @ 2%
2-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 7.7%
1-1 @ 7.85%
0-0 @ 7.31%
2-2 @ 2.11%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 17.54%
0-2 @ 16.21%
0-1 @ 15.4%
0-3 @ 11.38%
1-2 @ 8.27%
0-4 @ 5.99%
1-3 @ 5.8%
1-4 @ 3.05%
0-5 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 1.48%
1-5 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 74.75%

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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
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2Arsenal107302381524
3Manchester CityMan City108022271524
4Liverpool107212391423
5Aston Villa1071226141222
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1052326111517
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton105232319417
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd105051116-515
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham104241617-114
10Brentford103431612413
11Chelsea103341311212
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves103341317-412
13Crystal Palace10334813-512
14Fulham10334916-712
15Everton103161014-410
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest102441015-510
17Bournemouth10136821-136
18Luton TownLuton10127920-115
19Burnley10118825-174
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd10019729-221
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