SM
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 83.15%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Montserrat had a probability of 4.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.17%) and 1-0 (10.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.62%), while for a Montserrat win it was 0-1 (2.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nicaragua | Draw | Montserrat |
83.15% ( -1.19) | 11.97% ( 0.8) | 4.88% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 37.39% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.98% ( -2.12) | 38.02% ( 2.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.71% ( -2.3) | 60.29% ( 2.29) |
| Nicaragua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.18% ( -0.67) | 6.82% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.87% ( -1.83) | 25.13% ( 1.83) |
| Montserrat Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 40.13% ( -0.01) | 59.87% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.42% ( -0.01) | 90.58% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nicaragua | Draw | Montserrat |
| 2-0 @ 14.72% ( 0.41) 3-0 @ 13.17% ( -0.13)1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.7)4-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.43)2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.42)4-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.22)5-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.22)6-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.28)3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.06)6-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.28% Total : 83.14% | 1-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.32% Total : 11.97% | 0-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.35% Total : 4.88% |
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