SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montserrat win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Bermuda had a probability of 37.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montserrat win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.31%) and 3-1 (4.88%). The likeliest Bermuda win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montserrat would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montserrat | Draw | Bermuda |
39.99% ( -0.06) | 22.22% ( 0) | 37.79% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 68.47% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.2% ( -0.03) | 31.8% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.67% ( -0.03) | 53.33% ( 0.03) |
| Montserrat Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( -0.04) | 16.79% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.25% ( -0.06) | 46.75% ( 0.06) |
| Bermuda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.28% ( 0.01) | 17.72% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.62% ( 0.02) | 48.37% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montserrat | Draw | Bermuda |
| 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.31% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.74% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 3.44% Total : 39.99% | 1-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.09% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.43% ( -0)Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.22% | 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.09% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.77% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 37.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 20 |
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 16 |
| 7 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 13 |
| 9 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 12 | Fulham | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 11 |
| 13 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Brentford | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 |
| 16 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Luton TownLuton | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | Burnley | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 4 |
| 19 | Bournemouth | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 3 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 22 | -16 | 1 |
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