SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuba win with a probability of 49.51%. A win for Barbados had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuba win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Barbados win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cuba would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cuba | Draw | Barbados |
| 49.51% | 22.48% | 28.01% |
| Both teams to score 63.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.95% | 37.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.75% | 59.24% |
| Cuba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.71% | 15.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56% | 43.99% |
| Barbados Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% | 25.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.67% | 60.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cuba | Draw | Barbados |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% 1-0 @ 7.32% 2-0 @ 6.87% 3-1 @ 5.88% 3-0 @ 4.3% 3-2 @ 4.02% 4-1 @ 2.76% 4-0 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 1.89% 5-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 4.02% Total : 49.51% | 1-1 @ 10% 2-2 @ 6.42% 0-0 @ 3.89% 3-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.47% | 1-2 @ 6.84% 0-1 @ 5.32% 0-2 @ 3.64% 1-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 2.93% 0-3 @ 1.66% 1-4 @ 1.07% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.44% Total : 28.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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