SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuba win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuba win was 2-1 with a probability of 8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.23%) and 3-2 (4.74%). The likeliest Antigua and Barbuda win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cuba would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cuba | Draw | Antigua and Barbuda |
42.22% ( 0.49) | 21.32% ( -0.05) | 36.46% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 71.91% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.68% ( 0.21) | 27.32% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.11% ( 0.26) | 47.89% ( -0.25) |
| Cuba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.91% ( 0.26) | 14.09% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.3% ( 0.5) | 41.71% ( -0.49) |
| Antigua and Barbuda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.7% ( -0.08) | 16.3% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.13% ( -0.16) | 45.87% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cuba | Draw | Antigua and Barbuda |
| 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.86% Total : 42.23% | 1-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 7.26% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.74% Total : 21.32% | 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.3% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.6% Total : 36.46% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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