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CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Oct 14, 2023 at 11pm UK
The Roscow A.L. Davies Soccer Field - BFA National Centre
AA
Bahamas
1 - 4
Antigua
Julmis (62')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Stevens (3', 9'), Bramble (43'), Griffith (77' pen.)
Griffith (37'), Drew (66')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Bahamas and Antigua and Barbuda.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guyana 3-2 Bahamas
Tuesday, September 12 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Puerto Rico 5-0 Antigua
Wednesday, September 13 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antigua and Barbuda win with a probability of 53.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bahamas had a probability of 21.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an Antigua and Barbuda win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.6%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Bahamas win it was 1-0 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Antigua and Barbuda would win this match.

Result
BahamasDrawAntigua and Barbuda
21.14% (0.265 0.27) 25.34% (0.677 0.68) 53.52% (-0.94 -0.94)
Both teams to score 46.47% (-1.547 -1.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.45% (-2.234 -2.23)55.55% (2.236 2.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.28% (-1.86 -1.86)76.72% (1.862 1.86)
Bahamas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.66% (-1.005 -1.01)41.34% (1.006 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.14% (-0.898 -0.9)77.86% (0.90000000000001 0.9)
Antigua and Barbuda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23% (-1.257 -1.26)20.77% (1.259 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.58% (-2.015 -2.01)53.42% (2.017 2.02)
Score Analysis
    Bahamas 21.14%
    Antigua and Barbuda 53.51%
    Draw 25.34%
BahamasDrawAntigua and Barbuda
1-0 @ 7.59% (0.439 0.44)
2-1 @ 5.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.35% (0.106 0.11)
3-1 @ 1.55% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.22% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-0 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 21.14%
1-1 @ 11.92% (0.25 0.25)
0-0 @ 8.59% (0.717 0.72)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.194 -0.19)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 13.49% (0.63 0.63)
0-2 @ 10.6% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 9.37% (-0.174 -0.17)
0-3 @ 5.56% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-3 @ 4.91% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-4 @ 2.18% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.192 -0.19)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 53.51%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Guyana 3-2 Bahamas
Tuesday, September 12 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Bahamas 1-6 Puerto Rico
Saturday, September 9 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: St Vincent & Gr. 1-1 Bahamas
Monday, March 27 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Bahamas 0-3 Trin. & Tob.
Friday, March 24 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Nicaragua 4-0 Bahamas
Tuesday, June 14 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Bahamas 0-2 Nicaragua
Friday, June 10 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Puerto Rico 5-0 Antigua
Wednesday, September 13 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Antigua 1-5 Guyana
Saturday, September 9 at 8.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Antigua 1-2 Barbados
Sunday, March 26 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guadeloupe 0-1 Antigua
Thursday, March 23 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Cuba 3-1 Antigua
Sunday, June 12 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Antigua 0-2 Cuba
Friday, June 10 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
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